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KBB Expects Value Increase in Q1 but Not as High as Last Year

Gutierrez_Alec_Kelley

Alec Gutierrez
Senior Market Analyst of Automotive Insights
Kelley Blue Book

Through Q4 2012, values declined 3% nationally, which is slightly better than 5% and 6% percent respective declines of 2010 and 2011, and well w/in what can be expected according to seasonal patterns; While Hurricane Sandy took its toll on new vehicle inventory and increased used prices, it ended up being a short-term used price bump.

Click here to read Blue Book Market Report – January 2013

December Values Declined 0.7%, W/in Range of Historical Seasonal Depreciation:
W/ replacement demand from northeast seemingly satisfied, it appears values should remain relatively stable in months ahead.

During Q4 2012, KBB Observed 1% Annual Increase in Auction Sales Volume:
Perhaps signaling that used-vehicle shortage that has plagued dealers since 2010 may finally be coming to end.

KBB Expects Values to Be Flat in January Before Slight Increase Next 2 Months:
Through Q1 2013, expect moderate 0.5% increase in auction values, well short of 2.5% increase during Q1 2012.

Jan 15, 2013tedroberts
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