The “mobility revolution” away from traditional car ownership and toward fully autonomous vehicles will proceed slowly until at least the 2030s. So says Hinrich J. Woebcken, the former CEO and President of Volkswagen and 30-year veteran of the automotive industry.
“The new mobility landscape is still in its infancy. All of today’s mobility on-demand models, including taxi, ridehailing and sharing combined, only count for less than one percent of the total mobility miles,” according to Woebcken.
“Most car manufacturers have their own autonomous pilots and human-driven use cases on the road, but with limited financial success. Driverless robotaxi deployments will come and they will have an impact on car ownership – but not at scale within this decade.
“Cars with self-driving technology which are feasible and at scale for OEMs will only come at the earliest in the next decade. Driverless people movers in geo-fenced areas connecting residents in gated communities to businesses and restaurants, or first- and last-mile solutions, will come first.”
Read the article at Bestmile.com.
