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Remarketing Roundup: What Manheim and KBB Are Predicting in Upcoming Used Vehicle Values

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by Jon LeSage, editor, Used Car Market Reports

Here’s some market trends worth paying attention to from the latest Used Car Market Reports….

  1. Tom Webb and the Manheim Consulting team reported that the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index came in at 122.8 in September, an increase of 1.7% from its year-ago level.
  2. September’s increase wasn’t surprising given new vehicle inventory was low with shortages in some key models; Manheim expects that inventory to rise and higher off-lease volume, putting some downward pressure on used vehicle value.
  3. Franchised dealers had a 4% gain, while independent dealers suffered a 7% decline with total used vehicle dealer sales declining 1% in September.
  4. Blue Book Market Report’s used car study saw auction values for 1-3 year old models at the end of Q3 2013 remain at a three-year high at an average of $17,085 – $280 above the 2012 average.
  5. Kelley Blue Book expects values to continue on their downward trajectory throughout the remainder of the year, while continuing to best previous year auction values.
  6. Trilogy LLC has entered the used vehicle segment at a very interesting time. The US market is seeing more than 40 million used vehicle transactions happening per year. A few years ago, a dealership might have had one used car manager handling most of the sales transactions; lately that’s evolved into a team that includes internet sales and needs more resources and support. They might be expected to call a long list of leads, which can wear thin later in the day and Trilogy is offering dealers a solution.
Oct 10, 2013tedroberts
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